Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Brendan Boyle has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. Announcing a campaign to contest this seat as an independent, or for any party's nomination, resolves YES. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
event_tickerKXPASENRUN-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-02-16T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-02-16T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2100
latest_expiration_time2028-02-16T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8500
no_bid_dollars0.7700
no_sub_titleBrendan Boyle
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-02-15T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1504.20
open_time2026-08-19T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Brendan Boyle has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. Announcing a campaign to contest this seat as an independent, or for any party's nomination, resolves YES. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXPASENRUN-28-28FEB16-BBOY
titleWill Brendan Boyle announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?