Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If New York City experiences a population increase of between -0.99% and 0% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Population change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.
This market will close and expire early if official population data is released confirming the outcome.
event_tickerKXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-06-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-06-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
floor_strike-0.99
last_price_dollars0.3800
latest_expiration_time2029-06-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.6700
no_bid_dollars0.6200
no_sub_titleDecrease 0-0.99%
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp8784.70
open_time2025-11-08T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.3700
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.3800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.3200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf New York City experiences a population increase of between -0.99% and 0% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typebetween
subtitleDecrease 0-0.99%
tickerKXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N
titleWill New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?