Will Gavin Newsom defeat JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and JD Vance as the Republican nominee?

Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vanceactivebinarycustom

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

7¢ / 11¢

spread 4¢

Last trade

12¢

–

No bid / ask

89¢ / 93¢

24h volume

16.3k lifetime

Open interest

8,349

top of book 11 × 5

Closes

in 28mo

Jan 20, 2029 · 10:00 AM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Order book unavailable.

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If Gavin Newsom defeats JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources

Office of the Presidency

opens: Apr 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 20, 2029 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
expires: Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
category: Elections
event: mutually exclusive outcomes

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

Time	Yes	No	Size	Taker
22h ago

Other markets in 2028 Presidential race: exact outcome

2028

Event page

Market	Yes bid	Yes ask	Last	Δ	Spread	Vol 24h	OI	Vol total	Closes	Status
Will Gavin Newsom defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee?Gavin Newsom defeats Marco RubioKXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBD	2¢	5¢	3¢	–	3¢	0	5,547	10.5k	in 28mo	active

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market41

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2029-01-20T10:00:00Z

created_time2026-04-08T22:17:11.814236Z

custom_strike1