Will Gavin Newsom defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee?
Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubioactivebinarycustom
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.
opens
Apr 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
13d ago
3¢
97¢
217
no
16d ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2029-01-20T10:00:00Z
created_time2026-04-08T22:17:11.814236Z
custom_strike1
ask1015¢
ask1010¢
ask2007¢
ask2755¢
spread3¢mid 4¢
bid1882¢
bid2021¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
5¢
95¢
188
yes
21d ago
3¢
97¢
205
no
24d ago
7¢
93¢
1
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
47
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
250
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
219
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
300
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
75
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
25
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
50
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
83
yes
1mo ago
2¢
98¢
195
no
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
25
no
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
250
yes
1mo ago
4¢
96¢
1
yes
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
250
yes
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
25
yes
1mo ago
3¢
97¢
1
yes
2mo ago
3¢
97¢
3
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
20
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
50
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
175
no
2mo ago
1¢
99¢
2
no
2mo ago
4¢
96¢
2
yes
Combo
Gavin Newsom + Marco Rubio + Gavin Newsom
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes).
event_tickerKXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-11-07T10:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-20T10:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0300
latest_expiration_time2029-01-20T10:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9800
no_bid_dollars0.9500
no_sub_titleGavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp5546.81
open_time2026-04-09T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0300
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Gavin Newsom defeats Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM), Presidential Winner (PRESPERSON). All conditions must be satisfied the 2028 presidential election.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXPRESOUTCOME-28NOV07-GNEWMRUBD
titleWill Gavin Newsom defeat Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, with Gavin Newsom as the Democratic nominee and Marco Rubio as the Republican nominee?