Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?

Before 2029activebinary

Public page Open on kalshi.com

Yes bid / ask

17¢ / 27¢

spread 10¢

Last trade

18¢

–

No bid / ask

73¢ / 83¢

24h volume

0

3,846 lifetime

Open interest

252

top of book 200 × 200

Closes

in 28mo

Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC

YES price

Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.

24h · 1m 7d · 1h 30d · 1h 90d · 1d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5288¢
ask277¢
ask90576¢
ask20071¢

Resolution rules

Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.

If another Quebec independence referendum has a date announced (either by the Quebec provincial government or the Canadian federal government) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The referendum's date doesn't need to be before Jan 1, 2029, a date just has to be announced before Jan 1, 2029.

Settlement sources

The New York Times

opens: Dec 13, 2024 · 6:30 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires: Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
category: Politics
event: independent outcomes

Recent trades

Most recent first. Price is the YES side.

No trades yet.

Raw payload

Exactly what the API returned for this market.

Show JSON

market39

can_close_earlytrue

close_time2029-01-01T15:00:00Z

created_time2024-12-13T18:01:14.552453Z

early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

ask

1,724

70¢

ask1,00050¢

ask1,27149¢

ask20027¢

spread10¢mid 22¢

bid20017¢
bid114¢
bid2004¢
bid1,0004¢
bid2703¢
bid102¢
bid4,5712¢
bid2,2001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

event_ticker

KXQUEBEC-29

exchange_index0

expected_expiration_time2029-01-01T15:00:00Z

expiration_time2029-01-01T15:00:00Z

expiration_value

last_price_dollars0.1800

latest_expiration_time2029-01-01T15:00:00Z

liquidity_dollars0.0000

market_typebinary

no_ask_dollars0.8300

no_bid_dollars0.7300

no_sub_titleBefore 2029

notional_value_dollars1.0000

open_interest_fp251.59

open_time2024-12-13T18:30:00Z

previous_price_dollars0.1800

previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5000

previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1700

price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent

price_ranges3

[0]3

end0.1000

start0.0000

step0.0010

[1]3

end0.9000

start0.1000

step0.0100

[2]3

end1.0000

start0.9000

step0.0010

result

rules_primaryIf another Quebec independence referendum has a date announced (either by the Quebec provincial government or the Canadian federal government) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

rules_secondaryThe referendum's date doesn't need to be before Jan 1, 2029, a date just has to be announced before Jan 1, 2029.