Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.
This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask
550
81¢
ask35276¢
ask5475¢
ask1374¢
ask25151¢
spread6¢mid 48¢
bid545¢
bid25044¢
bid12540¢
bid1225¢
bid4221¢
bid43520¢
bid52219¢
bid4449¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
1d ago
45¢
55¢
4.16
yes
1d ago
45¢
55¢
1.62
yes
5d ago
41¢
59¢
1.62
no
7d ago
46¢
54¢
10
yes
8d ago
46¢
54¢
12
yes
8d ago
44¢
56¢
250
no
9d ago
49¢
51¢
250
no
9d ago
49¢
51¢
5
no
12d ago
50¢
50¢
5.78
no
12d ago
52¢
48¢
120
no
14d ago
59¢
41¢
1.62
yes
14d ago
59¢
41¢
1.64
yes
15d ago
57¢
43¢
250
no
18d ago
57¢
43¢
250
yes
18d ago
65¢
35¢
100
yes
18d ago
51¢
49¢
5
yes
22d ago
45¢
55¢
21
no
22d ago
46¢
54¢
5
no
26d ago
48¢
52¢
4
yes
29d ago
45¢
55¢
176
no
2mo ago
52¢
48¢
3
yes
2mo ago
45¢
55¢
3
no
2mo ago
52¢
48¢
18
yes
2mo ago
51¢
49¢
6
yes
2mo ago
52¢
48¢
13
yes
event_ticker
KXRECOGSOMALI-29
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.4500
latest_expiration_time2029-01-20T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.5500
no_bid_dollars0.4900
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 20, 2029
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp3927.39
open_time2024-12-18T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.4500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.4400
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify. Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient. Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state. Nor does U.S. abstention or vote in an international organization automatically equate to bilateral recognition.