Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Chuck Schumer has announced that they will run for Senate in 2028 before Apr 6, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask2,01670¢
ask1,33569¢
ask3,26243¢
ask15240¢
ask9539¢
ask20034¢
ask533¢
ask532¢
spread26¢mid 19¢
bid56¢
bid55¢
bid603¢
bid2102¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Size
Taker
7d ago
36¢
64¢
5
no
7d ago
35¢
65¢
195
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
24
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
210
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
100
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
40
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
25
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
15
no
1mo ago
41¢
59¢
200
no
1mo ago
42¢
58¢
1
yes
1mo ago
30¢
70¢
272
no
1mo ago
31¢
69¢
12
no
1mo ago
32¢
68¢
16
no
1mo ago
38¢
62¢
100
no
1mo ago
45¢
55¢
200
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
50
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
200
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
50
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
15
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
25
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
200
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
250
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
333
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
15
no
1mo ago
48¢
52¢
600
no
event_ticker
KXSCHUMERRUN-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-04-06T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-04-06T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.3500
latest_expiration_time2028-04-06T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9400
no_bid_dollars0.6800
no_sub_titleYes
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-04-06T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1738.00
open_time2026-08-11T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.3500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.3600
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0300
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Chuck Schumer has announced that they will run for Senate in 2028 before Apr 6, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCHUMERRUN-28-28APR06
titleWill Chuck Schumer announce a run for Senate in 2028?