Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision holding that the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee the right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, after Issuance and before January 1, 2030. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that those Amendments do not guarantee such a right. A decision recognizing the right and remanding for further proceedings resolves to Yes; if the cases are dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without deciding whether the asserted constitutional right exists, the market resolves to No.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Yes ask (no bid)
Size
Yes
ask8,17494¢
ask10.0k93¢
ask2,21692¢
ask18391¢
ask790¢
ask586¢
ask20583¢
ask2982¢
spread7¢mid 79¢
bid575¢
bid5.4774¢
bid20073¢
bid4.5134¢
bid23929¢
bid35228¢
bid3.6526¢
bid9121¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
No
Size
Taker
6h ago
81¢
19¢
1.97
yes
7h ago
35¢
65¢
4.49
no
8h ago
83¢
17¢
5
yes
8h ago
82¢
18¢
5
no
8h ago
82¢
18¢
5
yes
5d ago
78¢
22¢
3.06
no
5d ago
79¢
21¢
5
no
5d ago
79¢
21¢
5
no
9d ago
85¢
15¢
29
yes
10d ago
78¢
22¢
2.49
no
13d ago
84¢
16¢
76
yes
14d ago
84¢
16¢
1.17
yes
15d ago
83¢
17¢
12
yes
15d ago
83¢
17¢
60
yes
15d ago
82¢
18¢
6.02
yes
15d ago
82¢
18¢
36
yes
19d ago
79¢
21¢
6.23
yes
19d ago
74¢
26¢
244
no
20d ago
76¢
24¢
11
yes
20d ago
76¢
24¢
3.04
yes
20d ago
75¢
25¢
10
yes
20d ago
75¢
25¢
4.96
no
20d ago
76¢
24¢
5
no
20d ago
76¢
24¢
1.22
no
20d ago
81¢
19¢
12
yes
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2030-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2030-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8100
latest_expiration_time2030-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.2500
no_bid_dollars0.1800
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2030
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2030-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1197.65
open_time2026-06-30T21:45:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7800
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.3400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins, rules the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee a right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has issued a decision holding that the Second and Fourteenth Amendments guarantee the right to possess AR-15-platform and similar semiautomatic rifles, after Issuance and before January 1, 2030. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that those Amendments do not guarantee such a right. A decision recognizing the right and remanding for further proceedings resolves to Yes; if the cases are dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without deciding whether the asserted constitutional right exists, the market resolves to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSAR15-30JAN
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Cutberto Viramontes, Eddie Grant Jr., other individual plaintiffs in Viramontes v. Cook County and Grant v. Higgins