Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC, rules federal law authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings imposing monetary remedies for violations of H-2A employment conditions and that Article III permits those agency adjudications, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that 8 U.S.C. § 1188(g)(2) authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings to collect monetary remedies from employers alleged to have violated the terms and conditions of employment of H-2A workers or domestic workers in corresponding employment, and that Article III does not preclude the Department from conducting those adjudications, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules either that § 1188(g)(2) does not authorize such adjudications or that Article III precludes them. If the case is dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without a merits ruling establishing both statutory authorization and constitutional permissibility, the market resolves to No.
opens
Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2d ago
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market40
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-07-23T16:18:36.85221Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask3531¢
ask20024¢
ask1523¢
ask522¢
spread7¢mid 19¢
bid515¢
bid20014¢
bid354¢
bid503¢
bid3672¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
15¢
85¢
200
no
11d ago
31¢
69¢
15
no
17d ago
32¢
68¢
175
no
17d ago
33¢
67¢
5
no
1mo ago
40¢
60¢
0.11
yes
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-DOLSUN28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.1500
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.8500
no_bid_dollars0.7800
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp395.00
open_time2026-07-24T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC, rules federal law authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings imposing monetary remedies for violations of H-2A employment conditions and that Article III permits those agency adjudications, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that 8 U.S.C. § 1188(g)(2) authorizes the Department of Labor to adjudicate proceedings to collect monetary remedies from employers alleged to have violated the terms and conditions of employment of H-2A workers or domestic workers in corresponding employment, and that Article III does not preclude the Department from conducting those adjudications, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules either that § 1188(g)(2) does not authorize such adjudications or that Article III precludes them. If the case is dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without a merits ruling establishing both statutory authorization and constitutional permissibility, the market resolves to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-DOLSUN28
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Department of Labor in Department of Labor v. Sun Valley Orchards, LLC