Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that Williamson County’s land-use finality requirement does not displace the First Amendment’s chilling-effect doctrine when a plaintiff alleges that credible government threats before and after a Planning Commission meeting chilled religious exercise, worship, or assembly, such that the claim is not barred solely because the plaintiff lacked a final land-use decision, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the finality requirement displaces or bars such a claim, or if the case is dismissed, dismissed as improvidently granted, or remanded without resolving that merits question.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
1mo ago
85¢
15¢
0.31
no
2mo ago
90¢
10¢
202
yes
2mo ago
89¢
11¢
5
yes
2mo ago
80¢
20¢
0.11
no
2mo ago
84¢
16¢
66
yes
2mo ago
79¢
21¢
5
yes
2mo ago
80¢
20¢
66
yes
2mo ago
76¢
24¢
66
yes
2mo ago
72¢
28¢
200
no
2mo ago
73¢
27¢
5
no
2mo ago
76¢
24¢
200
no
2mo ago
77¢
23¢
5
no
2mo ago
84¢
16¢
0.11
yes
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.8500
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.1700
no_bid_dollars0.0700
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp0.31
open_time2026-07-24T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.8500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9100
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0200
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Grand v. City of University Heights, rules the land-use finality requirement does not displace a First Amendment chilling-effect claim based on credible government threats that deter religious exercise, worship, or assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that Williamson County’s land-use finality requirement does not displace the First Amendment’s chilling-effect doctrine when a plaintiff alleges that credible government threats before and after a Planning Commission meeting chilled religious exercise, worship, or assembly, such that the claim is not barred solely because the plaintiff lacked a final land-use decision, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the finality requirement displaces or bars such a claim, or if the case is dismissed, dismissed as improvidently granted, or remanded without resolving that merits question.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-GRACIT28
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Daniel Grand in Grand v. City of University Heights