Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. Ferguson, rules parents have Article III standing to challenge laws or policies that displace their decision-making role regarding their children’s gender transitions and thereby create present or likely future impediments to parenting, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that parents have Article III standing to challenge a law or policy that deliberately displaces their decision-making role regarding their children’s gender transitions and thereby creates present or likely future impediments to their ability to parent their children as they deem best, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A reversal or vacatur followed by remand resolves to Yes only if the Court’s merits holding establishes that the parents have Article III standing under the circumstances described above. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the parents lack standing, or if the case is dismissed, settled, found moot, DIG’d, or remanded without a merits holding establishing such standing.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
26d ago
94¢
6¢
4.23
yes
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-INTFER28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.9400
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.1500
no_bid_dollars0.0500
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp4.23
open_time2026-07-24T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.9400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0400
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. Ferguson, rules parents have Article III standing to challenge laws or policies that displace their decision-making role regarding their children’s gender transitions and thereby create present or likely future impediments to parenting, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that parents have Article III standing to challenge a law or policy that deliberately displaces their decision-making role regarding their children’s gender transitions and thereby creates present or likely future impediments to their ability to parent their children as they deem best, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A reversal or vacatur followed by remand resolves to Yes only if the Court’s merits holding establishes that the parents have Article III standing under the circumstances described above. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the parents lack standing, or if the case is dismissed, settled, found moot, DIG’d, or remanded without a merits holding establishing such standing.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-INTFER28
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc in International Partners for Ethical Care, Inc. v. Ferguson