Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins, rules the Equal Access to Justice Act’s phrase “any civil action” encompasses a habeas action challenging civil immigration detention, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that, under the Equal Access to Justice Act, “any civil action” encompasses an action seeking a writ of habeas corpus to challenge civil immigration detention, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A merits ruling answering that question affirmatively resolves the market to Yes even if the Court remands for further proceedings concerning the availability or amount of fees. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that such a habeas action is not encompassed by “any civil action,” dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, or remands without resolving the Question Presented.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
ask
322
92¢
ask50990¢
ask20089¢
ask10886¢
ask9984¢
ask20066¢
spread10¢mid 61¢
bid20056¢
bid17526¢
bid25125¢
bid512¢
bid19511¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Yes
No
Size
Taker
2mo ago
61¢
39¢
200
no
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-MONLIG28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.6100
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.4400
no_bid_dollars0.3400
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp200.00
open_time2026-07-24T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.6100
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins, rules the Equal Access to Justice Act’s phrase “any civil action” encompasses a habeas action challenging civil immigration detention, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that, under the Equal Access to Justice Act, “any civil action” encompasses an action seeking a writ of habeas corpus to challenge civil immigration detention, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A merits ruling answering that question affirmatively resolves the market to Yes even if the Court remands for further proceedings concerning the availability or amount of fees. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that such a habeas action is not encompassed by “any civil action,” dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, or remands without resolving the Question Presented.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-MONLIG28
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kevin Isaac Montoya Palacios in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins