Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Nielsen v. Watanabe, rules Watanabe may not pursue a Bivens damages claim against Nielsen for allegedly inadequate medical care, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that the Ninth Circuit erred in recognizing a Bivens cause of action for Watanabe’s claim against Nielsen, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the Ninth Circuit did not err, dismisses the case, finds certiorari improvidently granted, or vacates or remands without deciding whether the Ninth Circuit erred in recognizing the Bivens cause of action. A remand accompanied by a merits holding that the Ninth Circuit did err resolves to Yes.
opens
Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
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Exactly what the API returned for this market.
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market40
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
created_time2026-07-23T16:26:41.599602Z
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-NIEWAT28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.7800
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.2800
no_bid_dollars0.2300
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp401.17
open_time2026-07-24T00:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7800
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.7800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.7100
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Nielsen v. Watanabe, rules Watanabe may not pursue a Bivens damages claim against Nielsen for allegedly inadequate medical care, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that the Ninth Circuit erred in recognizing a Bivens cause of action for Watanabe’s claim against Nielsen, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that the Ninth Circuit did not err, dismisses the case, finds certiorari improvidently granted, or vacates or remands without deciding whether the Ninth Circuit erred in recognizing the Bivens cause of action. A remand accompanied by a merits holding that the Ninth Circuit did err resolves to Yes.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-NIEWAT28
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Francis Nielsen in Nielsen v. Watanabe