Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the Supreme Court, in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County, rules that federal law precludes Boulder County and the City of Boulder’s state-law claims seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions’ effects on the global climate, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that federal law precludes the state-law claims at issue seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by the effects of interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions on the global climate, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A ruling only that the Court has statutory and Article III jurisdiction does not satisfy the criterion. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that federal law does not preclude those claims, holds that it lacks jurisdiction, dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, or otherwise dismisses or remands the case without ruling on the merits described above.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask15296¢
ask1,46695¢
ask1,79994¢
ask28088¢
ask16787¢
ask16486¢
ask3285¢
ask20073¢
spread9¢mid 69¢
bid564¢
bid20063¢
bid25012¢
bid70411¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
27d ago
72¢
28¢
400
yes
1mo ago
72¢
28¢
2.72
yes
2mo ago
67¢
33¢
0.13
no
2mo ago
75¢
25¢
0.13
yes
2mo ago
71¢
29¢
200
no
2mo ago
75¢
25¢
200
yes
event_ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-SUNCOM26
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2026-12-31T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.7200
latest_expiration_time2028-08-01T14:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.3600
no_bid_dollars0.2700
no_sub_titleBefore Aug 1, 2028
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2026-07-23T14:00:00Z
open_interest_fp2.72
open_time2026-07-22T20:59:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.7300
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.6300
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the Supreme Court, in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County, rules that federal law precludes Boulder County and the City of Boulder’s state-law claims seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions’ effects on the global climate, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that federal law precludes the state-law claims at issue seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by the effects of interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions on the global climate, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A ruling only that the Court has statutory and Article III jurisdiction does not satisfy the criterion. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that federal law does not preclude those claims, holds that it lacks jurisdiction, dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, or otherwise dismisses or remands the case without ruling on the merits described above.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
subtitleBefore Jul 23, 2026
tickerKXSCOTUSCASE-SUNCOM26
titleWill the Supreme Court rule in favor of Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County