Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Chuck Schumer wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
opens
Nov 25, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
17h ago
59¢
41¢
55
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-11-24T23:45:01.071666Z
custom_strike1
ask364¢
ask42560¢
ask20057¢
ask2555¢
spread5¢mid 53¢
bid34150¢
bid73049¢
bid18548¢
bid244¢
bid143¢
bid142¢
bid141¢
bid1,00540¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
yes
17h ago
54¢
46¢
100
yes
17h ago
54¢
46¢
200
yes
17h ago
53¢
47¢
200
yes
2d ago
52¢
48¢
3
yes
2d ago
55¢
45¢
17
yes
6d ago
49¢
51¢
38
no
8d ago
49¢
51¢
1
no
9d ago
52¢
48¢
100
yes
21d ago
53¢
47¢
46
yes
30d ago
54¢
46¢
18
yes
1mo ago
49¢
51¢
81
no
1mo ago
60¢
40¢
1.5
yes
2mo ago
58¢
42¢
20
yes
2mo ago
52¢
48¢
10
no
2mo ago
60¢
40¢
10
yes
2mo ago
52¢
48¢
20
no
2mo ago
52¢
48¢
0.57
no
Option
Chuck Schumer
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified.
event_tickerKXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.5900
latest_expiration_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.5000
no_bid_dollars0.4500
no_sub_titleChuck Schumer
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp15608.97
open_time2025-11-25T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.5500
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.5000
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Chuck Schumer wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitleChuck Schumer:: Incumbent
tickerKXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-CSHU
titleWill Chuck Schumer win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?