Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Aleksandar Vučić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
opens
Jul 9 · 8:25 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
3d ago
70¢
30¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
created_time2026-07-09T20:01:36.182019Z
custom_strike1
3,500
96¢
ask1,55495¢
ask37694¢
ask49185¢
ask49184¢
ask80082¢
ask50074¢
ask15072¢
spread6¢mid 69¢
bid50066¢
bid7.3255¢
bid15043¢
bid5640¢
bid80039¢
bid1,84437¢
bid62034¢
bid3,75630¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
1.93
yes
5d ago
66¢
34¢
5
no
5d ago
65¢
35¢
259
no
5d ago
66¢
34¢
10
no
8d ago
72¢
28¢
10
yes
8d ago
72¢
28¢
5
yes
8d ago
73¢
27¢
52
yes
10d ago
65¢
35¢
100
no
11d ago
55¢
45¢
13
no
11d ago
85¢
15¢
0.01
yes
11d ago
85¢
15¢
8.67
yes
11d ago
84¢
16¢
4
yes
12d ago
68¢
32¢
500
yes
16d ago
89¢
11¢
147
yes
16d ago
62¢
38¢
500
yes
24d ago
62¢
38¢
440
yes
28d ago
59¢
41¢
30
yes
28d ago
58¢
42¢
5
yes
29d ago
60¢
40¢
5
yes
1mo ago
62¢
38¢
33
yes
1mo ago
62¢
38¢
20
yes
1mo ago
61¢
39¢
5
yes
1mo ago
61¢
39¢
5
yes
2mo ago
62¢
38¢
300
no
2mo ago
64¢
36¢
110
no
Person
Aleksandar Vučić
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.
event_tickerKXSERBIAPM-27DEC31
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.7000
latest_expiration_time2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.3400
no_bid_dollars0.2800
no_sub_titleAleksandar Vučić
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2028-12-31T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp2614.90
open_time2026-07-09T20:25:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.7000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.8400
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.5500
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf Aleksandar Vučić becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitleAleksandar Vučić:: SNS
tickerKXSERBIAPM-27DEC31-AVUC
titleWill Aleksandar Vučić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election?