Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
opens
Jun 9 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2033 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 8, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
5d ago
20¢
80¢
1.17
yes
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2033-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2026-06-09T16:31:20.990871Z
custom_strike1
Order book
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
ask88898¢
ask3497¢
ask40596¢
ask25295¢
ask12781¢
ask5480¢
ask4167¢
ask2.1753¢
spread50¢mid 28¢
bid53¢
bid352¢
bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
7d ago
14¢
86¢
6.33
no
14d ago
19¢
81¢
2.83
yes
14d ago
18¢
82¢
1.17
no
30d ago
15¢
85¢
5
no
30d ago
15¢
85¢
1.35
no
2mo ago
19¢
81¢
1.69
yes
2mo ago
19¢
81¢
0.11
yes
2mo ago
20¢
80¢
0.11
yes
2mo ago
15¢
85¢
0.11
no
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
5
yes
2mo ago
50¢
50¢
4
yes
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
100
yes
2mo ago
51¢
49¢
1.22
yes
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
5
yes
2mo ago
29¢
71¢
90
yes
2mo ago
31¢
69¢
2
yes
2mo ago
15¢
85¢
200
yes
2mo ago
13¢
87¢
100
no
2mo ago
12¢
88¢
186
no
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
5
no
2mo ago
14¢
86¢
5
no
2mo ago
9¢
91¢
50
no
2mo ago
23¢
77¢
200
no
2mo ago
24¢
76¢
100
no
Date
Jan 1, 2033
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
event_tickerKXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2033-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2033-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2000
latest_expiration_time2033-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9700
no_bid_dollars0.4700
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2033
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2033-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp73.29
open_time2026-06-09T17:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.1900
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1600
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01
titleWill it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law before Jan 1, 2033?