Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If US trade deficit for 2026 is above 170 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Expiration Value is the annual seasonally adjusted U.S. trade balance (goods and services) for 2026, as reported in the FT-900 release covering December 2026.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
No trades yet.
2026
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be below 45 billion?Below 45 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-T45 | 0¢ | 3¢ | 2¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 668 | 824 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 45 billion and 54.9 billion? |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
| 0¢ |
| 5¢ |
| 1¢ |
| – |
| 5¢ |
| 0 |
| 900 |
| 900 |
| in 4mo |
| active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 55 billion and 64.9 billion?55 billion to 64.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B59.95 | 0¢ | 1¢ | 5¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 716 | 1,189 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 65 billion and 74.9 billion?65 billion to 74.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B69.95 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 684 | 1,033 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 75 billion and 84.9 billion?75 billion to 84.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B79.95 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 1¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 789 | 989 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 85 billion and 94.9 billion?85 billion to 94.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B89.95 | 0¢ | 4¢ | 1¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 851 | 1,323 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 95 billion and 104.9 billion?95 billion to 104.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B99.95 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 522 | 794 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 105 billion and 119.5 billion?105 billion to 119.5 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B112.25 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 2¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 616 | 768 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 119.6 billion and 119.9 billion?119.6 billion to 119.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B119.75 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 6¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 704 | 908 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 120 billion and 139.9 billion?120 billion to 139.9 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B129.95 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 567 | 800 | in 4mo | active |
| Will US trade deficit for 2026 be between 140 billion and 170 billion?140 billion to 170 billionKXTRADEDEFICIT-27FEB28-B155.0 | 0¢ | 5¢ | 5¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 448 | 718 | in 4mo | active |