Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Barron Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
opens
Nov 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
4h ago
55¢
45¢
2.06
yes
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-11-18T00:29:42.545041Z
custom_strike1
Yes ask (no bid)
Size
Yes
ask10077¢
ask4475¢
ask2974¢
ask2272¢
ask2867¢
ask1.8566¢
ask165¢
ask2.9460¢
spread14¢mid 53¢
bid446¢
bid545¢
bid7743¢
bid3.7541¢
bid1733¢
bid7030¢
bid6429¢
bid10028¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
4h ago
55¢
45¢
1.46
yes
11h ago
45¢
55¢
0.01
no
11h ago
44¢
56¢
1.85
no
11h ago
48¢
52¢
5
no
11h ago
48¢
52¢
5
no
11h ago
49¢
51¢
4
no
11h ago
55¢
45¢
16
yes
12h ago
55¢
45¢
4.68
yes
12h ago
51¢
49¢
4
yes
12h ago
50¢
50¢
5
yes
12h ago
51¢
49¢
5
yes
22h ago
45¢
55¢
158
no
22h ago
50¢
50¢
5
no
22h ago
50¢
50¢
5
no
22h ago
50¢
50¢
484
no
22h ago
50¢
50¢
35
no
22h ago
52¢
48¢
5
no
22h ago
52¢
48¢
0.34
no
22h ago
51¢
49¢
29
no
2d ago
54¢
46¢
129
yes
2d ago
53¢
47¢
2.12
yes
2d ago
53¢
47¢
22
yes
2d ago
54¢
46¢
22
yes
2d ago
53¢
47¢
5
yes
Person
Barron Trump
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a pardon is granted.
event_tickerKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-22T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.5500
latest_expiration_time2029-01-22T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.5400
no_bid_dollars0.4000
no_sub_titleBarron Trump
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp41265.79
open_time2025-11-18T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.5400
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.5500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.5200
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Barron Trump has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
settlement_timer_seconds300
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-BAR
titleWill Barron Trump receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?