Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Joseph Maldonado has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
opens
Nov 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
5d ago
22¢
78¢
0.43
yes
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market42
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-11-18T00:29:42.545041Z
custom_strike1
ask4.5166¢
ask4965¢
ask0.5323¢
ask0.7522¢
spread19¢mid 13¢
bid53¢
bid103¢
bid2003¢
bid1,0003¢
bid471¢
bid10.3k1¢
bid2,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
15d ago
22¢
78¢
4.31
yes
22d ago
16¢
84¢
31
no
22d ago
16¢
84¢
159
no
23d ago
16¢
84¢
8.73
no
23d ago
17¢
83¢
5
no
2mo ago
21¢
79¢
4.51
yes
Person
Joseph Maldonado
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a pardon is granted.
event_tickerKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-21T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-01-22T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2200
latest_expiration_time2029-01-22T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9670
no_bid_dollars0.7800
no_sub_titleJoseph Maldonado
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp297.59
open_time2025-11-18T15:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2200
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2200
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0320
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Joseph Maldonado has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
settlement_timer_seconds300
statusactive
strike_typecustom
subtitle:: Joe Exotic
tickerKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-JMAL
titleWill Joseph Maldonado receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?