Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
event_tickerKXTRUMPRUN
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0590
latest_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9630
no_bid_dollars0.9410
no_sub_titleBefore 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp18172.85
open_time2025-10-25T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.1900
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0600
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0400
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Donald Trump has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXTRUMPRUN-27JAN01
titleWill Donald Trump announce a run for President of the United States before Jan 1, 2027?