Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
For this market, a qualifying establishment must be adopted through a law, executive order, regulation, or other binding official act, or unconditionally announced by the President, an authorized Cabinet official, or another authorized U.S. government body.
A new body or formally designated existing body qualifies only if a binding official action grants it primary nationwide, cross-sector AI rulemaking, licensing, supervisory, or enforcement authority comparable in substance to a national regulator, or if an unconditional official announcement commits to granting it such authority, including when that authority will take effect later. The body's name or form does not control: a council, office, standards body, or SRO qualifies if one identifiable body receives those powers. A body that only advises, coordinates, studies, tests, sets voluntary standards, conducts one-off reviews, or has only sector-specific authority does not qualify. Distributed sector-by-sector authority does not qualify.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the event described in the Payout Criterion occurs.
event_tickerKXUSAIREGULATOR-28JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2027-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2900
latest_expiration_time2027-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.7500
no_bid_dollars0.7000
no_sub_titleBefore Jan 1, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2027-01-01T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp897.77
open_time2026-09-04T16:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2000
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9800
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.1600
price_level_structurelinear_cent
price_ranges1
[0]3
end1.0000
start0.0000
step0.0100
result
rules_primaryIf the United States agrees to or announces the establishment of a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryFor this market, a qualifying establishment must be adopted through a law, executive order, regulation, or other binding official act, or unconditionally announced by the President, an authorized Cabinet official, or another authorized U.S. government body.
A new body or formally designated existing body qualifies only if a binding official action grants it primary nationwide, cross-sector AI rulemaking, licensing, supervisory, or enforcement authority comparable in substance to a national regulator, or if an unconditional official announcement commits to granting it such authority, including when that authority will take effect later. The body's name or form does not control: a council, office, standards body, or SRO qualifies if one identifiable body receives those powers. A body that only advises, coordinates, studies, tests, sets voluntary standards, conducts one-off reviews, or has only sector-specific authority does not qualify. Distributed sector-by-sector authority does not qualify.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXUSAIREGULATOR-28JAN01-27JAN01
titleWill the US commit to a national AI regulator before Jan 1, 2027?