Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if the person announces their candidacy.
event_tickerKXVANCERUN-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.4900
latest_expiration_time2028-01-01T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.6400
no_bid_dollars0.0110
no_sub_titleBefore Apr 1, 2027
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp496.83
open_time2026-04-07T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.4900
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.9890
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.3500
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXVANCERUN-28-27APR01
titleWill JD Vance announce a run for President of the United States before Apr 1, 2027?