Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Ma Xingrui is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
opens
Sep 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2045 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 1, 2045 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
18d ago
0¢
100¢
45
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market41
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2045-01-01T04:59:00Z
created_time2025-09-23T16:50:30.62814Z
custom_strike1
ask275¢
ask2005¢
ask912¢
ask1002¢
spread2¢mid 1¢
bid9550¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
no
Person
Ma Xingrui
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a new leader is announced.
event_tickerKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2045-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0010
latest_expiration_time2045-01-08T15:00:00Z
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9990
no_bid_dollars0.9820
no_sub_titleMa Xingrui
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp268.00
open_time2025-09-24T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0010
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0190
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0010
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Ma Xingrui is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
settlement_bounds_typedefault
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-MXIN
titleWill Ma Xingrui become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?