Fetching from Kalshi…
Fetching from Kalshi…
Close per candle with bid/ask band; volume below. Times in UTC.
Top of book, both sides expressed as YES prices.
Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Yin Yong is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
Before Jan 1, 2045
| Market | Yes bid | Yes ask | Last | Δ | Spread | Vol 24h | OI | Vol total | Closes | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ding Xuexiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Ding XuexiangKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-DXUE | 23¢ | 28¢ | 21¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 954 | 4,615 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Chen Jining become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045? |
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
| Time | Yes | No | Size | Taker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d ago | 0¢ | 100¢ | 1 | no |
| 25d ago | 0¢ | 100¢ | 2 | no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 98¢ | 2 | yes |
| 4¢ |
| 6¢ |
| 9¢ |
| – |
| 2¢ |
| 0 |
| 3,086 |
| 6,406 |
| in 223mo |
| active |
| Will Li Qiang become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Li QiangKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LQIA | 14¢ | 17¢ | 14¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 1,658 | 14.4k | in 223mo | active |
| Will Cai Qi become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Cai QiKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-CQI | 3¢ | 8¢ | 3¢ | – | 5¢ | 0 | 463 | 1,501 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Li Xi become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Li XiKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LXI | 10¢ | 11¢ | 11¢ | – | 1¢ | 0 | 1,105 | 3,115 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Yin Li become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Yin LiKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-YLI | 1¢ | 3¢ | 1¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 1,290 | 2,572 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Li Ganjie become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Li GanjieKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-LGAN | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 152 | 299 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Zhao Leji become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Zhao LejiKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-ZLEJ | 13¢ | 16¢ | 13¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 956 | 2,863 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Wang Huning become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Wang HuningKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-WHUN | 0¢ | 3¢ | 0¢ | – | 3¢ | 0 | 179 | 334 | in 223mo | active |
| Will He Lifeng become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?He LifengKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-HLIF | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 147 | 275 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Ma Xingrui become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Ma XingruiKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-MXIN | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 268 | 482 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Chen Min'er become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Chen Min'erKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-CMIN | 0¢ | 2¢ | 0¢ | – | 2¢ | 0 | 269 | 531 | in 223mo | active |
| Will Zhang Guoqing become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?Zhang GuoqingKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-ZGUO | 0¢ | 4¢ | 0¢ | – | 4¢ | 0 | 228 | 487 | in 223mo | active |