Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If Zhang Guoqing is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
early_close_conditionThis market will close and expire early if a new leader is announced.
event_tickerKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2045-01-01T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2045-01-08T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.0030
latest_expiration_time2045-01-08T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.9980
no_bid_dollars0.9580
no_sub_titleZhang Guoqing
notional_value_dollars1.0000
open_interest_fp228.00
open_time2025-09-24T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.0030
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.0420
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.0020
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf Zhang Guoqing is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThe market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typecustom
tickerKXXISUCCESSOR-45JAN01-ZGUO
titleWill Zhang Guoqing become the next leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) before Jan 1, 2045?