Verbatim from the venue. The analyst must quote these, never paraphrase.
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Pennsylvania for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Note: If John Fetterman runs as a member of the Democratic party and wins, then that market will resolve to Yes and John Fetterman (as an independent) will resolve to No.
opens
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
expires
Jan 4, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
Recent trades
Most recent first. Price is the YES side.
Time
Yes
No
Size
Taker
3d ago
23¢
77¢
2
no
1mo ago
26¢
Raw payload
Exactly what the API returned for this market.
Show JSON
market43
can_close_earlytrue
close_time2029-11-07T15:00:00Z
created_time2025-07-14T19:26:26.764809Z
custom_strike1
ask
659
64¢
ask158¢
ask50026¢
ask0.4725¢
spread2¢mid 24¢
bid50323¢
bid50014¢
bid4511¢
bid1,00010¢
bid0.188¢
bid2978¢
bid2,0007¢
bid1466¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes
74¢
37
yes
2mo ago
27¢
73¢
21
yes
2mo ago
26¢
74¢
0.16
yes
2mo ago
27¢
73¢
7.03
yes
2mo ago
24¢
76¢
125
yes
2mo ago
25¢
75¢
250
yes
2mo ago
22¢
78¢
1
yes
2mo ago
23¢
77¢
125
yes
political_party
9244ed4c-9dfd-45cc-8211-996dc902f315
early_close_conditionThis market will close early following the swearing in of the Senator for the seat in question.
event_tickerSENATEPA-28
exchange_index0
expected_expiration_time2029-01-04T15:00:00Z
expiration_time2029-11-07T15:00:00Z
expiration_value
last_price_dollars0.2300
latest_expiration_time2029-11-07T15:00:00Z
liquidity_dollars0.0000
market_typebinary
no_ask_dollars0.7700
no_bid_dollars0.7500
no_sub_titleRepublican party
notional_value_dollars1.0000
occurrence_datetime2029-01-03T15:00:00Z
open_interest_fp1485.71
open_time2025-07-15T14:00:00Z
previous_price_dollars0.2300
previous_yes_ask_dollars0.2500
previous_yes_bid_dollars0.2300
price_level_structuretapered_deci_cent
price_ranges3
[0]3
end0.1000
start0.0000
step0.0010
[1]3
end0.9000
start0.1000
step0.0100
[2]3
end1.0000
start0.9000
step0.0010
result
rules_primaryIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Pennsylvania for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
rules_secondaryThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Note: If John Fetterman runs as a member of the Democratic party and wins, then that market will resolve to Yes and John Fetterman (as an independent) will resolve to No.
settlement_timer_seconds1800
statusactive
strike_typestructured
subtitleRepublican party
tickerSENATEPA-28-R
titleWill Republicans win the Senate race in Pennsylvania?