Will the Democratic party win the House in 2028?
YES means Democratic party
- 24h volume
- 155
- 13.9k lifetime
- Open interest
- 6,423
- +505 over 7d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 123 × 431 at the touch
- 24h range
- 69¢ – 75¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 28¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Democratic party has won control of the House in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. House. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the Speaker of the House on February 1, 2029.
- opened
- May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- CONTROLH-2028-D
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 72¢ | 62 | bought no |
| 6h ago | 75¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 6h ago | 75¢ | 39 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 72¢ | 5.24 | bought no |
| 9h ago | 75¢ | 13 | bought yes |
| 19h ago | 72¢ | 13 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 72¢ | 0.31 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 75¢ | 5.24 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 75¢ | 1.31 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 75¢ | 6.57 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 74¢ | 1.32 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 74¢ | 13 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 75¢ | 204 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 74¢ | 52 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 74¢ | 1.31 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.