Will the Democratic party win the Senate in 2028?
YES means Democratic party
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2,016 lifetime
- Open interest
- 79
- +37 over 90d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 20 × 1,005 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 49¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask111.5k83¢
- ask2,22682¢
- ask41.7k80¢
- ask20079¢
- ask28.9k77¢
- ask12.8k74¢
- ask14773¢
- ask1,00557¢
- bid2051¢
- bid1,00050¢
- bid15835¢
- bid10.8k34¢
- bid23.1k32¢
- bid28.5k29¢
- bid41.1k26¢
- bid2,11724¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Democratic party has won control of the Senate in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may be determined early based on a consensus of media calls projecting control of the U.S. Senate. See full rules for details. Otherwise, victory will be determined by the party identification of the President pro tempore of the Senate on February 1, 2029.
- opened
- May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- CONTROLS-2028-D
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17d ago | 57¢ | 43 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 57¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 29d ago | 56¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 57¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 55¢ | 0.64 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 55¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 53¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 59¢ | 1.64 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 57¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 60¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.