Will Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?
YES means Democratic by 31 to 60
- 24h volume
- 0
- 152 lifetime
- Open interest
- 152
- Spread
- 1¢
- 399 × 49 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 2 recent trades
A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 89¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 15 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- May 6, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- -60
- cap
- -31
- ticker
- ECMOV-28NOV07-DEM31T60
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 2 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 11¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 12¢ | 150 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.