Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?
YES means Republican by 211 or more
- 24h volume
- 0
- 1,650 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,649
- +1 over 7d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 449 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 1¢ – 1¢
A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask32985¢
- ask4684¢
- ask9461¢
- ask28552¢
- ask16651¢
- ask130¢
- ask112¢
- ask20010¢
- bid4491¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 15 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- May 6, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 211
- cap
- 538
- ticker
- ECMOV-28NOV07-REP211T538
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.