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New Hampshire Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New Hampshire

YES means Cinde Warmington

24h volume
1,277
14.0k lifetime
Open interest
8,426
+2,917 over 30d
Spread
1¢
2,500 × 11 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 16¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%−2

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
24h low 10¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volAug 23Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55084¢
  • ask4,63480¢
  • ask5,80020¢
  • ask37517¢
  • ask4316¢
  • ask52.5k15¢
  • ask1,00014¢
  • ask1113¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid2,50012¢
  • bid15010¢
  • bid50.0k10¢
  • bid5006¢
  • bid5,0005¢
  • bid232¢
  • bid2,2522¢
  • bid381¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Hampshire pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 9, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYNH-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago12¢654bought no
14h ago12¢44bought no
15h ago12¢83bought no
15h ago12¢82bought no
15h ago12¢82bought no
15h ago12¢5bought no
15h ago12¢75bought no
17h ago12¢159bought no
21h ago12¢5bought no
22h ago12¢37bought no
22h ago12¢1bought no
22h ago12¢50bought no
1d ago13¢99bought yes
1d ago14¢110bought yes
2d ago13¢0.99bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.