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New Hampshire Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Hampshire

YES means Kelly Ayotte

24h volume
0
26.5k lifetime
Open interest
18.5k
+8,625 over 7d
Spread
1¢
6 × 4,996 at the touch
24h range
85¢ – 90¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%

A YES contract costs 89¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 12¢

YES bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
NO bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
24h low 85¢24h high 90¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,000100¢
  • ask1.1299¢
  • ask5,50095¢
  • ask1294¢
  • ask3,50091¢
  • ask50.0k91¢
  • ask2290¢
  • ask4,99689¢
spread1¢mid 89¢
  • bid688¢
  • bid9687¢
  • bid14086¢
  • bid74285¢
  • bid50.1k84¢
  • bid2,87583¢
  • bid10082¢
  • bid5,00080¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of New Hampshire pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 9, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYNH-28-R
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago89¢4.01bought no
2d ago89¢0.99bought no
2d ago90¢2bought no
2d ago90¢20bought no
3d ago90¢81bought yes
3d ago90¢29bought yes
4d ago90¢3.94bought yes
4d ago89¢1.58bought yes
4d ago90¢50bought yes
4d ago89¢2.06bought yes
4d ago89¢6.49bought yes
4d ago90¢75bought yes
4d ago89¢28bought yes
4d ago89¢18bought yes
4d ago88¢35bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.