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West Virginia Governor·closes in 38mo

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in West Virginia

YES means Democratic

24h volume
0
3,483 lifetime
Open interest
604
+235 over 90d
Spread
5¢
2.09 × 5.41 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 92¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volJun 26Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask5,00092¢
  • ask25392¢
  • ask127¢
  • ask2,50015¢
  • ask5.4113¢
spread5¢mid 11¢
  • bid2.098¢
  • bid88¢
  • bid2368¢
  • bid2,5018¢
  • bid18¢
  • bid451¢
  • bid2131¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of West Virginia pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 13, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
GOVPARTYWV-28-D
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 96¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.