galdor.xyz
Admin
India climate goals·closes in 64mo

Will India meet its climate goals?

YES means By 2030

24h volume
17
12.9k lifetime
Open interest
2,824
−17 over 24h
Spread
1¢
47 × 13 at the touch
24h range
63¢ – 63¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
63%+2

A YES contract costs 63¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
37%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask
62¢ / 63¢
NO bid / ask
37¢ / 38¢
24h low 63¢24h high 63¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢volSep 20, 7:20 AMSep 20, 8:37 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10097¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask194¢
  • ask1091¢
  • ask65590¢
  • ask185¢
  • ask50069¢
  • ask1363¢
spread1¢mid 63¢
  • bid4762¢
  • bid50061¢
  • bid6.2358¢
  • bid2.6554¢
  • bid150¢
  • bid2.5849¢
  • bid2032¢
  • bid77928¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 1, 2024 · 12:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
INDIACLIMATE-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in India meets its 2030 climate goals?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago63¢17bought yes
1d ago61¢2.32bought no
2d ago62¢1.4bought yes
2d ago63¢0.24bought yes
2d ago62¢3.81bought yes
4d ago62¢8.6bought no
4d ago62¢2.38bought no
5d ago63¢5bought no
7d ago62¢2.67bought no
7d ago63¢5bought no
10d ago69¢12bought yes
11d ago70¢12bought yes
11d ago63¢1.35bought no
13d ago69¢35bought yes
13d ago68¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.