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2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Gretchen Whitmer

24h volume
3.87
40.4k lifetime
Open interest
5,947
Spread
3¢
3.17 × 897 at the touch
24h range
27¢ – 28¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%−3

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 72¢

YES bid / ask
28¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 72¢
24h low 27¢24h high 28¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3068¢
  • ask95467¢
  • ask6166¢
  • ask25055¢
  • ask139¢
  • ask14238¢
  • ask1,25032¢
  • ask89731¢
spread3¢mid 30¢
  • bid3.1728¢
  • bid1,00927¢
  • bid3325¢
  • bid5524¢
  • bid1,00023¢
  • bid13210¢
  • bid239¢
  • bid1299¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Gretchen Whitmer announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-GWHI
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago28¢0.58bought no
5h ago27¢2.59bought no
19h ago27¢0.7bought no
9d ago30¢195bought yes
10d ago30¢5bought yes
15d ago28¢5bought no
15d ago27¢8.49bought no
16d ago30¢239bought yes
16d ago31¢14bought yes
16d ago29¢33bought yes
16d ago31¢250bought yes
16d ago31¢9.14bought yes
18d ago29¢75bought yes
18d ago29¢25bought yes
18d ago30¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.