2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Mitch Landrieu

24h volume: 0; 1,354 lifetime
Open interest: 1,261; +0 over 7d
Spread: 3¢; 1,000 × 11 at the touch
24h range: 60¢ – 61¢

Chance of YES

60%

A YES contract costs 61¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

40%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask

58¢ / 61¢

NO bid / ask

39¢ / 42¢

24h low 60¢24h high 61¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask4580¢
ask3379¢
ask175¢
ask2874¢
ask1,00067¢
ask1466¢
ask1662¢
ask1161¢

spread3¢mid 60¢

bid1,00058¢
bid6825¢
bid1,15724¢
bid34021¢
bid1144¢
bid4,4503¢
bid6,8002¢
bid20.4k1¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mitch Landrieu announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

opened: Apr 20 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KX2028DRUN-28-MLAN

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.