2028 D running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Roy Cooper

24h volume
0
8,972 lifetime
Open interest
3,002
Spread
11¢
30 × 152 at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
/ 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 95¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Roy Cooper announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028DRUN-28-RCOO
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
26d ago19¢1.27bought yes
2mo ago19¢1.86bought no
2mo ago20¢1.27bought no
2mo ago20¢3bought no
2mo ago24¢40bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.