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2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Jared Kushner

24h volume
0
996 lifetime
Open interest
612
+4.36 over 30d
Spread
4¢
59 × 463 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 11¢
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 90¢
24h low 10¢24h high 11¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask97388¢
  • ask5187¢
  • ask43666¢
  • ask1,44462¢
  • ask88354¢
  • ask10953¢
  • ask1,00015¢
  • ask46314¢
spread4¢mid 12¢
  • bid5910¢
  • bid187¢
  • bid1007¢
  • bid317¢
  • bid1,0006¢
  • bid773¢
  • bid752¢
  • bid482¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jared Kushner announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-JKUS
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.