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2028 R running·closes in 16mo

Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?

YES means Ron DeSantis

24h volume
0
36.8k lifetime
Open interest
19.7k
+66 over 7d
Spread
2¢
893 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 36¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢volSep 16Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask13983¢
  • ask14782¢
  • ask5581¢
  • ask1080¢
  • ask2077¢
  • ask1075¢
  • ask8974¢
  • ask1,00066¢
spread2¢mid 65¢
  • bid89364¢
  • bid4858¢
  • bid1,00057¢
  • bid21753¢
  • bid2,00052¢
  • bid9130¢
  • bid1,87729¢
  • bid4.6825¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KX2028RRUN-28-RDES
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago64¢66bought no
7d ago64¢2bought no
11d ago64¢9bought no
13d ago64¢2bought no
18d ago66¢5bought yes
18d ago66¢7.39bought yes
18d ago64¢2bought no
18d ago64¢20bought no
19d ago66¢22bought yes
19d ago66¢2bought yes
20d ago64¢5.3bought no
27d ago65¢7.5bought yes
28d ago62¢3.24bought no
29d ago64¢985bought yes
29d ago60¢31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.