Will SpaceX announce acquisition of any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Yes
- 24h volume
- 0
- 12.3k lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,576
- Spread
- 6¢
- 5 × 84 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 62¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask2194¢
- ask2291¢
- ask1,83590¢
- ask0.3475¢
- ask50045¢
- ask8444¢
- bid538¢
- bid50037¢
- bid430¢
- bid33514¢
- bid1311¢
- bid1,1319¢
- bid3307¢
- bid1201¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If SpaceX announces an agreement to acquire any major U.S. telecom business before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this market "any major U.S. telecom business" is defined as any of the following companies: AT&T Inc., Verizon Communications Inc., T-Mobile US Inc., EchoStar Corp, Comcast Corp, Charter Communications Inc., Lumen Technologies Inc., and US Cellular Corp. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.
- opened
- Jun 23 · 2:30 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXACQANNOUNCESPACEX-28JAN01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 45¢ | 21 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 38¢ | 2.18 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 44¢ | 1.34 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 44¢ | 0.84 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 44¢ | 4.16 | bought yes |
| 6d ago | 37¢ | 6.13 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 38¢ | 0.73 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 38¢ | 4.27 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 45¢ | 4.27 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 45¢ | 13 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 45¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 15d ago | 46¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 16d ago | 45¢ | 0.2 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 38¢ | 17 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 41¢ | 84 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.