Will Netflix announce acquisition of Letterboxd before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Netflix
- 24h volume
- 0
- 44 lifetime
- Open interest
- 13
- Spread
- 8¢
- 500 × 500 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 8 recent trades
A YES contract costs 64¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 44¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Netflix announces an agreement to acquire Letterboxd before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control.
- opened
- Jul 10 · 3:15 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXACQLETTERBOXD-28JAN01-NFLXLETT
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 8 trades, 59% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d ago | 64¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 20d ago | 56¢ | 7.62 | bought no |
| 27d ago | 64¢ | 7.62 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 91¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 91¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 56¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 54¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 55¢ | 5 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.