Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jul 1, 2027?
YES means Before Jul 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 80
- 350 lifetime
- Open interest
- 110
- +110 over 7d
- Spread
- 14¢
- 73 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- 23¢ – 43¢
- 8 recent trades
A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 74¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask29485¢
- ask20084¢
- ask1,67183¢
- ask565¢
- ask28961¢
- ask8260¢
- ask541¢
- ask1040¢
- bid7326¢
- bid1025¢
- bid10523¢
- bid2006¢
- bid4905¢
- bid1001¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If federal legislation requiring independent AI safety evaluations or audits has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying federal law must require a safety evaluation or audit of AI models, systems, or safety practices by an evaluator independent of the entity being reviewed. Government evaluators and independent outside organizations qualify. The review must substantively assess safety risks, testing, safeguards, or risk management; disclosure paperwork or self-attestation alone does not qualify. The law may cover a defined class of models or entities and may delegate technical standards to an agency. Self-assessments, voluntary programs, studies, and reviews limited to privacy, fairness, or transparency without a safety component do not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925).
- opened
- Sep 17 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jul 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXAISAFETYAUDIT-26SEP-27JUL01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 8 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 24¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2h ago | 23¢ | 65 | bought no |
| 2h ago | 29¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 15h ago | 24¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 43¢ | 50 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 43¢ | 50 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 43¢ | 70 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 43¢ | 100 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.