Will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law before Jan 1, 2028?
YES means Before Jan 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 410
- 1,439 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,034
- Spread
- 12¢
- 10 × 3 at the touch
- 24h range
- 20¢ – 55¢
- 15 recent trades
A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 72¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If federal legislation requiring independent AI safety evaluations or audits has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A qualifying federal law must require a safety evaluation or audit of AI models, systems, or safety practices by an evaluator independent of the entity being reviewed. Government evaluators and independent outside organizations qualify. The review must substantively assess safety risks, testing, safeguards, or risk management; disclosure paperwork or self-attestation alone does not qualify. The law may cover a defined class of models or entities and may delegate technical standards to an agency. Self-assessments, voluntary programs, studies, and reviews limited to privacy, fairness, or transparency without a safety component do not qualify. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is the FRONTIER Act (H.R. 9925).
- opened
- Sep 17 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXAISAFETYAUDIT-26SEP-28JAN01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 15 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 36¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 43¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 5h ago | 42¢ | 190 | bought no |
| 8h ago | 45¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 15h ago | 20¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 16h ago | 55¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 30 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 44 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 60¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 62¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 50 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 61¢ | 200 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.