When will artist release a new album?·closes in 2mo

Will Don Toliver release new album before Dec 1, 2026?

YES means Before Dec 1, 2026

24h volume
0
4,955 lifetime
Open interest
1,930
+11 over 30d
Spread
76¢
1.66 × 5 at the touch
24h range
66¢ – 98¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
66%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
34%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
/ 81¢
24h low 66¢24h high 98¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 12:06 AM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDON-26DEC01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago68¢10bought no
2d ago72¢13bought no
2d ago66¢200bought no
6d ago97¢10bought yes
6d ago98¢0.27bought yes
18d ago90¢0.56bought yes
18d ago89¢5bought yes
1mo ago56¢20bought no
1mo ago46¢7.34bought no
1mo ago57¢6.66bought no
1mo ago59¢200bought yes
1mo ago57¢20bought yes
1mo ago54¢200bought yes
1mo ago82¢8bought yes
1mo ago79¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.