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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 6mo

Will Don Toliver release new album before Apr 1, 2027?

YES means Before Apr 1, 2027

24h volume
0
3,131 lifetime
Open interest
3,082
+1,102 over 30d
Spread
66¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
33 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 71¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 25Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,48199¢
  • ask47998¢
  • ask6.6797¢
  • ask595¢
spread66¢mid 62¢
  • bid529¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid210¢
  • bid999¢
  • bid318¢
  • bid944¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 12:06 AM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDON-27APR01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 33 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago88¢200bought yes
18d ago89¢200bought yes
20d ago84¢200bought yes
24d ago84¢200bought yes
25d ago85¢51bought yes
25d ago84¢51bought yes
26d ago84¢200bought yes
1mo ago76¢51bought yes
1mo ago76¢2bought yes
1mo ago77¢98bought yes
1mo ago75¢100bought yes
1mo ago73¢100bought yes
1mo ago70¢100bought yes
1mo ago69¢43bought yes
1mo ago68¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.