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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 4mo

Will Don Toliver release new album before Feb 1, 2027?

YES means Before Feb 1, 2027

24h volume
0
3,013 lifetime
Open interest
2,658
+0 over 7d
Spread
87¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 92¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,46499¢
  • ask52898¢
  • ask596¢
  • ask595¢
spread87¢mid 52¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid946¢
  • bid675¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 12:06 AM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDON-27FEB01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25d ago89¢0.93bought no
25d ago89¢19bought no
25d ago89¢32bought no
26d ago83¢200bought yes
26d ago78¢200bought yes
26d ago73¢200bought yes
29d ago64¢6.07bought no
29d ago71¢20bought yes
29d ago71¢38bought yes
1mo ago64¢34bought no
1mo ago65¢5bought no
1mo ago78¢50bought yes
1mo ago73¢200bought yes
1mo ago73¢17bought yes
1mo ago73¢2.61bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.