KXALBUMRELEASEDATE·closes in 8mo

Will Don Toliver release new album before Jun 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jun 1, 2027

24h volume
0
509 lifetime
Open interest
509
Spread
77¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
/ 81¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Don Toliver releases a new album before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 5 · 12:06 AM UTC
closes
Jun 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDON-27JUN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18d ago90¢200bought yes
1mo ago74¢100bought yes
1mo ago73¢7.22bought yes
1mo ago71¢100bought yes
1mo ago72¢2bought yes
1mo ago71¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.