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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 13mo

Will Don Toliver release new album before Oct 1, 2027?

YES means Before Oct 1, 2027

24h volume
0
60 lifetime
Open interest
59
Spread
74¢
5 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
92%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
8%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 74¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
    spread–mid –
    • bid526¢
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Don Toliver releases a new album before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 5 · 12:06 AM UTC
    closes
    Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDON-27OCT01
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 3 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    17d ago92¢59bought no
    29d ago92¢0.52bought no
    2mo ago95¢0.52bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.