When will artist release a new album?·closes in 3mo

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
0
4,430 lifetime
Open interest
1,268
Spread
51¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 71¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 21 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago50¢2bought no
1d ago51¢1bought yes
1d ago51¢1bought yes
3d ago53¢150bought no
3d ago57¢5bought no
3d ago56¢48bought no
3d ago54¢54bought no
4d ago62¢1bought yes
4d ago62¢63bought yes
4d ago59¢15bought yes
5d ago57¢111bought no
5d ago57¢54bought no
5d ago58¢15bought no
5d ago58¢20bought no
5d ago60¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.